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Kelly Price
Let's look at the errors made and why you need
to avoid them.
1. Forex Charts Predict
A common mistake, traders think they need to
predict to win - but of course this is simply
hoping or guessing and is destined to see you
lose.
If you use charts the correct way, you trade on
the reality of price change and trade it, you
don't predict.
There is a big industry in forex trading that
says prices move to a scientific theory and you
know what will happen next - but of course if
prices did move to science, we would all know
the price in advance and there would be no
market.
Don't believe any of the prediction nonsense -
trade the reality of price change i.e if a
price comes to support, don't predict support
will hold, wait for it to move the other way
and trade the fact it has held.
Another great way to trade is to trade now
breakouts to new highs or lows - it's a proven
fact that most big moves start from these
breaks, so make breakouts part of your forex
trading strategy.
2. The More Inputs the
Better
5 or 6 indicators must be better than 1 or 2 -
totally wrong!
The more inputs the more chances are the system
will break.
Simple forex trading systems work best and
always have.
All you need is support and resistance and a
few indicators and your all set.
3. Using Invalid Data
You need to use technical analysis on valid
data, where you can get the odds in your
favour.
Do not try and use forex day trading or
scalping systems the data is to short to be
traded. All volatility is random and you can't
use it, so don't - Either forex swing trade or
trend follow.
4. Using Indicators in the Wrong
Way
Many traders do this.
They use lagging indicators such as moving
averages to enter price, or Bollinger bands are
stops. This is not what they were intended to
do!
Use an indicator for what it was intended and
understand its limitations.
5. Curve Fitting
To succeed with forex charts we have said you
need to keep your system simple and if you do,
you will avoid another common mistake curve
fitting.
Today with powerful software packages, it's
tempting to back test and bend the rules to fit
the data to make a profit - this is also known
as curve fitting.
If you do this, the system will collapse in
real time trading, as no two segments of data
repeat themselves in the same way again.
To avoid curve fitting - keep it simple and
make sure the rules you use to execute your
trading signal are the same for all currencies
and all market conditions.
A Simple Route to Profits
Forex charting is essentially simple - You need
to use support and resistance and a few
confirming indicators and to trade the reality
of price change either, with breakouts or
shifts in price momentum near support and
resistance tests.
If you do the above, you can build your own
forex trading system in about a week and you
could soon be making profits, big ones, in less
than 30 minutes a day.
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